Roger Simon, chief political columnist at The Politico, is convinced that it's the presidential nomination or bust for Barack Obama.
Already weighing Hillary's Clinton's VP possibilities, he notes: "There would be enormous pressure within the party for her to select Barack Obama. It would be a unifying choice, an historic choice and she wouldn’t do it in a million years."
Intraders, however, aren't nearly as convinced. Obama, who is trading at 19 for the Democratic VP nomination, is currently holding in second place on the site behind New Mexico Governor and fellow Democratic candidate Bill Richardson.
But Simon, who thinks Richardson comes with far too much baggage from the last Clinton administration, thinks Bill Clinton's former Energy Secretary is also an unlikely choice (Anyone who saw his pathetic performance on Meet The Press on May 27 would be inclined to agree.).
"Though Richardson would be pleased as punch to get the bid, though he would add geographic balance to the ticket and though he is a governor, which voters tend to like, somehow I don’t think it is in the cards," he said.
Bottom Line: Short both Obama and Richardson for the Democratic Vice Presidential nomination and buy Evan Bayh and Mark Warner.