Nate Silver says Joe Sestak is a 3:1 favorite in today's PA senate primary.
The political statistician also predicts that the Dems may soon be searching for a new senate candidate in CT following a Times report that Blumenthal lied about serving in Vietnam.
The Fix is holding a Primary Day Prediction Contest - So far, Wash Post amateur pundits are predicting a Sestak victory but are split over the race for Murtha's PA House seat.
Latest Intrade prices on today's primary races:
PA Senate: Sestak 80/Specter 20
PA-17: Repub Burns 58/Dem Critz 40
AR Senate: Lincoln 80/Halter 20
KY Senate: Paul 90/Grayson 20