Showing posts with label morning prediction roundup. Show all posts
Showing posts with label morning prediction roundup. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Morning Odds and Ends

Kansas Secretary of State Chris Biggs predicts just 19% turnout in today's primary, where Jim Moran and the Palin-backed Todd Tiahrt are battling for the GOP nomination for Senator Brownback's seat.

Despite the 2008 Democratic Primary drama, DNC Committee decides to keep controversial superdelegates and predicts impact on future primaries will be negligible.

Michael Barone, who boasts that he wrote the first mainstream media piece in July 1994 predicting that Republicans would recapture the House, predicts that history will repeat itself this November.

Experts predict more than 15 million surveillance cameras in China by 2014.

Recorded Futures, a startup that monitors the real-time web and catalogs predictions, has received financial backing from both Google and the CIA. Politickr will be taking the beta site for a spin over the next month and will report back on the new search engine for predictions.

Researchers predict ethnicity of Facebook users based on US Census data and analysis of names.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Morning Prediction Roundup

Hillary Clinton heightens expectations: Asked whether Democrats will win in a landslide, she tells Good Morning America's Kate Snow "I think we're headed for a very big win." 

Joe Biden: We'll Win in West Virginia. "We're going to win in West Virginia," he said at an Ohio rally. "We're going to shock the living devil out of y'all." 

It may seem like pure bluster from Biden, but last week's ARG poll numbers suggest there could be something to his prediction. If you're convinced, this could be a buying opportunity: McCain currently leads on Intrade 60-36.

7-Eleven Predicts Huge Obama Win: Obama currently leads McCain 59-41 at the chain's stores, where those who support Obama can choose his blue coffee cup over McCain's red one. It's not exactly Intrade, but the 7-Eleven market has been surprisingly accurate over the last two presidential election cycles. In 2004, cup sales put Bush over Kerry by 2 points. In 2000, Bush led by a single percentage point. As for the bean race in the battleground states, Obama leads 61-39 in Virginia, but McCain is up 51-49 in N.C. and 53-47 in New Hampshire.

Scholastic News: McCain Should Worry. In a large poll conducted by Scholastic News of kids between pre-K and 12th grade, Obama won 57-39. Sure, that's Obama's vocal base. But USA Today puts the poll in context: student voters have been right 15 of the last 17 times. "The student voters - about 250,000 this year - have an 88% prediction rate. Only twice since 1940 have their results been at odds with the nation's: in 1948, when Harry Truman defeated Thomas Dewey, and in 1960, when John F. Kennedy beat Richard Nixon."

Will MSNBC's Chris Matthews Run for Senate in 2010? Politico keeps up the speculation.

At the open: Obama - 80; McCain - 20